Monday, October 13, 2008

Drillbits

Up From the Ground Come a Bubble

In what must be one of the greatest sector collapses in market history, participants in the nation's shale plays have had to move quickly to pare back risk. In an industry where the taking and management of risk are at the core of a company's success, it's not surprising that dramatic steps had to be taken. Most dramatic of all, beyond the deals falling through, capex being cut, leasing being stopped, wells being shut in and rigs being let go, was the quickness of some companies and individuals to cut debt exposure. Some, voluntarily and some not, and some more quickly than others.

This writer has long praised Aubrey McClendon for his bullishness and quickness in exploiting the shale plays and putting Chesapeake at the top of the producer list. The most remarkable part this ascent was his willingness to put his personal wealth on the line. Nobody did that better than Aubrey. Had I known that he'd also bought the last several million shares on margin, my remarks might not have been so laudatory. It's hard to say what his net equity was at the top when his holdings were worth $1.9 billion, but by the day of the first call, it had dropped to $750 million and after three days of selling, at Friday's close, it was worth $31.9 million. Nonetheless, I'll still root for him as long as he's capable of learning THE LESSON OF A LIFETIME and managing the company with the knowledge that there's so much more to lose if he's not.

Bob Simpson of XTO also did some heavy selling. Apparently, not by force as in McClendon's case, but Simpson cited cleaning up some debt as one of his reasons for disposing of 2.777 million shares or about 30% of his holdings.

Stories:
McClendon
Simpson